NewsNation poll on 2024 election, economy, Biden-Trump rematch

(NewsNation) — A NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ poll surveyed registered voters on key issues as the 2024 presidential primaries heat up, gauging voter perceptions on the economy, national security, the Israel-Hamas war and more.

The poll revealed the majority of voters expect the 2024 election to be a contest between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump. The majority of participants (59.36%) said they were not enthusiastic about the prospect of this rematch.

The survey polled 1,000 voters between January 16th and January 18th, 2024. The margins of error vary in the different questions as the number of people who answered each question was different. Learn more about why margins of error matter here.

See the full poll results below:

Question 1: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?
(Margin of Error: 3.036)

Strongly approve: 14.91%
Somewhat approve: 27.78%
Somewhat disapprove: 17.81%
Strongly disapprove: 39.50%

Question 2: Which of the following do you think is a bigger threat to the United States today?
(Margin of Error: 3.075)

Russia: 21.25%
China: 43.00%
Iran: 9.01%
North Korea: 6.98%
Afghanistan: 1.18%
Other: 5.99%
Not Sure: 12.59%

Question 3: And how concerned are you about inflation?
(Margin of Error: 3.078)

Very concerned: 56.61%
Somewhat concerned: 32.23%
Not too concerned: 9.81%
Not at all concerned: 1.35%

Question 4: Which do you think is a bigger problem facing the United States today: Inflation, unemployment, crime, or immigration?
(Margin of Error: 3.096)

Inflation: 46.06%
Unemployment: 7.60%
Immigration: 29.19%
Crime: 17.14%

Question 5: Which definition comes closest to your understanding of democracy?
(Margin of Error: 3.097)

A government in which decisions are made solely by the people: 22.06%
A government in which decisions are made solely by elected members of government: 15.29%
A government in which decisions are made by elected members of government as informed by the people: 53.54%
Something else: 2.21%
Not sure: 6.89%

Question 6: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the U.S. Congress is handling its job?
(Margin of Error: 3.097)

Strongly approve: 4.11%
Somewhat approve: 20.30%
Somewhat disapprove: 46.28%
Strongly disapprove: 29.31%

Question 7: Thinking about your preferred candidate for president, which of the following would you say should be their top priority?
(Margin of Error: 3.073)

Be willing to compromise and work in a bipartisan way to pass legislation: 57.18%
Be willing to listen and consider bipartisan legislation but ultimately stand with their party: 26.83%
Stand with their party and not compromise on legislation or issues: 6.94%
Not sure: 9.05%

Question 8: Thinking of the next year, how confident are you that Democrats and Republicans in Congress will be able to work together in a bipartisan way to pass legislation?
(Margin of Error: 3.073)

Very confident: 5.40%
Somewhat confident: 16.43%
Not too confident: 42.79%
Not confident at all: 35.37%

Question 9: Would you say you approve or disapprove of President Biden’s handling of the war between Israel and Hamas?
(Margin of Error: 2.928

Strongly approve: 11.03%
Somewhat approve: 33.35%
Somewhat disapprove: 26.13%
Strongly disapprove: 29.49%

Question 10: Would you say the U.S. is too supportive or not supportive enough of Israel?
(Margin of Error: 3.073)

Too supportive of Israel: 24.02%
About right: 42.84%
Not supportive enough of Israel: 20.32%
Not sure: 12.82%

Question 11: Thinking about other things, which of the following do you worry about the most?
(Margin of Error: 2.286)

A cyberattack: 4.23%
Climate change: 16.16%
Artificial intelligence: 5.40%
Domestic terrorism: 13.48%
Foreign terrorism: 6.65%
Financial system collapse: 14.87%
Nuclear war: 10.72%
A pandemic: 3.60%
World war: 13.82%
Something else: 5.50%
Not sure: 5.57%

Question 12: Of the following, which issue would you say is the most important to consider when deciding who to vote for in the 2024 general election?
(Margin of Error: 3.046)

The economy: 40.26%
Health care: 6.46%
Education: 2.46%
Crime: 7.08%
Abortion: 7.84%
Climate change: 6.11%
Racial inequality: 2.88%
Immigration: 17.08%
Something else: 5.70%
Not sure: 4.12%

Question 13: How likely do you think it is that Joe Biden will be the 2024 Democratic presidential nominee?
(Margin of Error: 3.022)

Very likely: 38.53%
Somewhat likely: 28.90%
Somewhat unlikely: 9.16%
Very unlikely: 17.21%
Not sure: 6.19%

Question 14: And how likely do you think it is that Donald Trump will be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee?
(Margin of Error: 3.1)

Very likely: 47.19%
Somewhat likely: 30.06%
Somewhat unlikely: 8.38%
Very unlikely: 8.05%
Not sure: 6.32%

Question 15: Thinking about the 2024 presidential general election, how enthusiastic would you say you would be for a rematch between Joe Biden and Donald Trump?
(Margin of Error: 2.993)

Very enthusiastic: 19.08%
Somewhat enthusiastic: 21.55%
Not too enthusiastic: 22.68%
Not at all enthusiastic: 36.68%

Question 16: If the 2024 presidential election is a rematch between Joe Biden and Donald Trump, who do you think will win?
(Margin of Error: 3.076)

Joe Biden: 33.15%
Donald Trump: 43.14%
Someone else: 6.53%
Not sure: 17.18%

Question 17: Regardless of who you may currently plan to vote for, who among the following would you say is the strongest Republican candidate against Joe Biden in the 2024 presidential general election?
(Margin of Error: 3.097)

Former President Donald Trump: 46.42%
Former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley: 18.47%
Someone else: 4.61%
Not sure: 14.94%

Candidates who have dropped out since the poll was conducted:

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis: 7.75%
Entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy: 3.46%
Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie: 3.66%
Former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson: 0.70%

Question 18: Would you support or oppose states disqualifying Donald Trump from being on the ballot if he is convicted in one or more of the criminal cases against him?
(Margin of Error: 3.08)

Strongly support: 43.59%
Somewhat support: 15.92%
Somewhat oppose: 10.61%
Strongly oppose: 29.88%

Question 19: Do you support or oppose states disqualifying Donald Trump from being on the ballot on the basis that his actions leading up to the takeover of the U.S. Capitol on January 6, 2021, violated the Insurrection Clause of the 14th Amendment?
(Margin of Error: 3.07)

Strongly support: 42.46%
Somewhat support: 14.45%
Somewhat oppose: 11.95%
Strongly oppose: 31.13%

Question 20: Overall, would you say that the country is on the right track or on the wrong track?
(Margin of Error: 2.935)

Right track: 22.56%
Wrong track: 66.35%
Not sure: 11.10%

Question 21: Overall, would you say you are better or worse off financially than you were about a year ago?
(Margin of Error: 3.099)

Better off: 20.42%
Worse off: 46.84%
Neither better nor worse off: 32.74%

Question 22: Thinking about other topics, if the election for the U.S. Congress in your district was held today, which of the following candidates would you most likely vote for?
(Margin of Error: 3.083)

The Republican candidate: 44.01%
The Democratic candidate: 42.75%
A third-party candidate: 9.12%
Would not vote: 4.13%

Question 23: What is the highest degree or level of school you have completed? If you’re currently enrolled in school, please indicate the highest degree you have received.
(Margin of Error: 2.907)

Post-graduate degree: 19.21%
Bachelor’s degree: 32.41%
Some college or associate’s degree: 30.34%
High school diploma or less: 18.05%

Question 24: Which of the following would you say most accurately describes your political ideology?
(Margin of Error: 3.02)